Failed Capital Raise – A Cautionary Tale

The Story
It’s no secret that, like fashion, industries and sectors have trends. Fundraising follows a similar pattern. What’s “hot” one year may not be hot the next year, and so forth. Trends come and go, sometimes very quickly. Back in 2021 when the pandemic was raging, people were staying home and ordering tons of stuff online. Logistics / fulfillment was a hot and rapidly growing sector. Ecommerce companies, large and small, were clamoring for solutions to get their goods delivered quickly and efficiently to their customers. Logistics was booming! And investors were eager to get a healthy slice of the action.

Enter company “XYZ” that provided last-mile logistics services. XYZ was a family business that had grown modestly over the years. When the pandemic hit, their business exploded overnight, rapidly adding new ecommerce customers (including a very large one). With the need for expanded, bi-coastal facilities and the desire to ‘take some chips off the table’ the family decided by mid-2022 that it was time to seek an equity capital infusion.

So, What Happened?
Around that time, company XYZ was working with a new commercial bank, one of the largest in the nation. When XYZ shared their plans for an equity capital raise, their new commercial banker offered that he was a good “matchmaker” and could make a few introductions to private equity investors, since they were bankers to many of the big private equity firms and could help them for free. Seemed like a no-brainer. What could go wrong?

Well, unfortunately, a lot went wrong. Sure, the commercial banker made a few introductions for XYZ. But with little support and the lack of a focused, dedicated process, XYZ was left to fend for themselves. XYZ management-owners ended up spending the better part of 2023 having many dead-end conversations with a host of randomly selected private equity investors (i.e. customers of the commercial bank), wasting a lot of time, with no deal in the end! In the meantime, the demand for logistics services had cooled considerably as pandemic-induced buying behavior plummeted, with the return to pre-pandemic levels. XYZ ‘s business dropped, including the loss of one major ecommerce customer. For the first time, XYZ was going to show a loss. Investor appetites for logistics by this time had also cooled considerably. Logistics was no longer the ‘hot’ investment sector. Sadly, XYZ “missed the window” and since then has been working hard to rebuild its business in a tougher environment.
So, what’s the lesson here?
Is your company considering a capital raise or M&A deal, and just might benefit from expert advice? Are you in a sector that might be considered “hot” for 2024, with time-to-market critical (e.g. AI)? How can you be sure you are getting to the right investors, efficiently and effectively? What if you “miss the window” like company XYZ?

Please give us a call if you’d like to discuss your company’s situation and plans you may have for an M&A event or capital raise. We’d be happy to listen to your story and see if we can help.

ACG National Panel—Trends in Tech M&A Dealmaking

Jan Robertson speaks on ACG national panel April 8th , part of a four part series on Trends in Tech M&A Dealmaking. In this series of short clips, Jan provides an update on the blockbuster Q1 2021 for M&A deals – best on record since early 1980s – what’s driving this robust dealmaking activity, plus some cautionary notes as to what factors (e.g. tax increases!) might chill this activity later this year. Watch the videos below.

Q1 2021 M&A Trends
Planning for a Successful Sale
What Makes A Company Attractive For Sale
Planning For Post Merger Success
Potential Market Disruptions
The Sale Process Overview
Competition Among SPACS
binoculars

M&A in 2021 – What’s Ahead? Five Things Business Owners Need to Consider if Preparing to Sell

Perhaps you are a founder/owner of a high-growth tech company that needs capital and other resources that a larger company in your sector could provide? Perhaps you own a well-established business and are considering retirement? Perhaps you’ve recently been approached by interested buyers in your industry? All of these are valid reasons you may be pondering whether now is the right time to sell your business.


Regardless of your reasons, here are some things you might consider first before diving into the deep end:

  • Current M&A Environment – By all accounts, including our own observations, M&A has come roaring back since the holidays. Whether it is market challenges and capital constraints in scaling one’s business, anecdotes of competitors getting acquired for big dollars, or fear of one’s mortality and the desire to cash out, business owners are eager these days to take the necessary steps in preparing for and selling their businesses. And the good news is that strategic buyers are actively seeking quality acquisitions – whether to fill a technology or team gap, to access coveted customer relationships, or to add a new division in a complementary business sector.
  • Valuations – In 2020, despite the fall in number of M&A deals closed, surprisingly valuations for M&A deals that did get done, compared favorably to pre-COVID sale valuations in 2019. This was generally true across most business sectors, with multiples paid on revenue and earnings actually increasing in certain hot areas such as aspects of software and biotechnology / healthcare. This was particularly evident for companies valued between $20 to $200 million (sources: CapIQ and Dealogic).
  • Taxes – As of January 20th, we have a new administration in the White House, and Democratic control of congress. It is a given that the Trump tax cuts will be modified, per the Biden plan released last fall. The question is when. The Biden administration has many pressing issues to deal with such as COVID and re-energizing the economy, so it may be later in 2021 or even 2022 before tax changes occur. We are advising business owners that if they are considering selling their business sometime this year or next and are concerned about capital gains and other tax changes on the horizon, they are best to begin preparing now to take their company to market soon, aiming to close the most optimal deal by mid-year or earlier.
  • Preparation – One of the critical first steps in selling a business is thorough preparation, the foundation needed to launch a successful sale process! Buyers need accurate financial and other information to assess your business and make a bid. Do you have accurate financials for the past few years? A credible forecast with assumptions? Legal documents (e.g., shareholder, employment, IP, etc.)  in order? For more details on preparation, and steps you need to take, please refer to: https://www.sivaladvisors.com/process/.
  • Positioning – Here is where the right M&A advisor can make or break your deal. How your business is described to each type of prospective acquirer, stressing important nuances to appeal to different types of buyers, is mission-critical to getting the highest bids! It is the persuasive aspect of the sale documents. Thoughtfully probing and understanding your business’s strengths and creating often multiple variations of the pitch documents for these different groups of buyers will pay huge dividends.

Still have questions about selling your business in 2021? Give us a call or email, we would be happy to have a confidential discussion. Click here to schedule: https://www.sivaladvisors.com/contact-us/

By Jan Robertson, Managing Partner & Co-Founder SiVal Advisors, a Silicon Valley-based technology M&A firm, with national and global reach.

The Importance of Personal Chemistry in M&A Dealmaking

Recently, I had the pleasure of interviewing a client whom we worked closely with for several months on the sale of a software company he had co-founded with a couple of partners. He had graciously agreed to do a webinar with us to tell his story of selling a business, from a client’s perspective. During the interview, I asked him why he and his partners engaged our firm.

One of his answers surprised me – Personal Chemistry! Yes, he cited many of the usual qualities we tout: deep M&A dealmaking experience especially with technology companies, knowledge of the software sector, international reach, and senior professional attention. However, the one that surprised me was his emphasis on the importance of Personal Chemistry in making their decision to work with us.

What did he mean by Personal Chemistry? As a serial entrepreneur who had seen multiple company ‘exits’ over the years, he had a seasoned perspective. He said he knew there inevitably would be some ups and downs along the way, and they wanted to work with a team they liked and trusted. One they could work collaboratively with to solve problems and handle challenges together as they arose. He was right there were challenges – as there are in every M&A deal – but we worked harmoniously with them and their legal and other advisors, to overcome these challenges and successfully close their transaction.

This conversation got me thinking about all the ways in which Personal Chemistry is a key ingredient in M&A dealmaking. Here are a few examples where it is vital:

  • Outreaching to Potential Buyers – the initial contact, a tailored email addressing specifics as to why they should be interested in the opportunity from their Company’s perspective, followed up with a phone call, are critical steps in establishing credibility and generating interest in the opportunity.
  • Negotiations – it helps to establish a rapport with the buyer(s) first, and develop a level of trust early on, prior to delving into the deal negotiations. 
  • Due Diligence – assembling and disclosing the mountain of information requests and responding to the myriad of follow up questions, additional information and analysis needed, takes not only attention to detail but also day-to-day handholding and emotional support throughout the process to reach the closing with sanity preserved!  Upfront preparedness makes all the difference so you’re playing offense not defense.
  • Driving to Closing – fostering the give and take on numerous deal points, working with differing agendas and personalities on both sides takes diplomacy, thoughtfulness, and trust to work through the inevitable deal ‘speed bumps’ along the way and achieve the desired goal of closing a mutually rewarding transaction.

While dealmaking experience, financial acumen, and industry knowledge are essential to a successful M&A process, the importance of Personal Chemistry in orchestrating the best outcome for all cannot be underestimated!

Jan Robertson is Managing Partner & Co-Founder of SiVal Advisors, a Silicon Valley-based technology M&A advisory firm. Click here to access clips from her interview with SiVal client Arif Janjua, former Chairman and shareholder of software company Citilabs Inc. which was acquired by Bentley Systems in 2019.

merger and acquisition

Disruptive Tech Trends and Why They Matter in This Economy – Smart Logistics and Mobility Analytics – Keys to Supply Chain Efficiency

Disruption in Supply Chains – What If? Scenarios 

A year ago, if you had even suggested that people would be forced to stay in their homes, businesses would be closed, and the hottest commodity around would be toilet paper, people would have laughed. Fast forward to May 2020, not many people are laughing. Supply Chain Management (SCM) has become one of the hot topics of conversation. Getting the right stuff to the right people at the right time in the right place has become mission-critical to everyone. 

Explosive Growth in e-Commerce 

Amazon has dominated the e-commerce business for well over a decade. Costco and Walmart have been chipping away at Amazon’s lead the past few years, and Facebook has jumped squarely into the fray, announcing Facebook Shops on May 19th. With one click, FB users can now buy products and services their social media community is endorsing.

E-commerce has rapidly grown in recent years averaging 15-16% per annum, significantly outpacing yearly in-store sales growth of just 2-3% since 2010. Last year, US consumers spent over $600B online, fully 16% of all retail sales, with continued high growth expected as consumers shift more and more to online purchases, according to a report by Digital Commerce 360 based on US Commerce Department retail data. Of that, Amazon accounted for well over a third.  This growth, in turn, has fueled the need for online fulfillment, inventory management, goods’ picking and packing, shipping, and ancillary services. 

E-commerce depends on efficient Supply Chain Management (SCM) and Logistics for the distribution of goods and services to customers. 

Logistics is the process—largely a science but also an art—of managing the flow of goods through the supply chain, from the place where they are made to the place where they are consumed. Globally, e-commerce Logistics is a US$2.5T industry as of 2019 and is projected to grow by about US$550B this year at a compounded growth of 21.3%, according to a recent Research and Markets report. Advanced software systems are essential engines of the Logistics industry, coordinating all facets of the supply chain, including planning, transportation, and warehouse management. 

What are these disruptive technologies and how do they facilitate Supply Chain Management?

Today SCM has moved beyond the efficient distribution of goods and services. The ability to look into the distribution data, to play “what-if”, to make changes quickly in real-time, and to predict all of this in advance, has moved disruptive technologies such as Smart Logistics and Mobility Analytics to the forefront.   These new technologies are driving massive changes in how people and goods are transported.

Mobility Analytics

The field of Mobility Analytics uses knowledge from the areas of operations research, machine learning, economics, information systems, traffic engineering, and data management to take vast amounts of movement data generated by people, vehicles and infrastructure to create valuable insights for large sectors of the economy: automotive, insurance, advertising, logistics, transportation and city design, and traffic management. Today is the beginning of a connected world, Internet of Things (IoT), with an emphasis on movement – connected cars, buses, scooters, bikes, people, and goods – and the infrastructure to support that movement. Emerging applications include energy management, self-driving technology, sharing economy apps, home delivery, and transformation of industries such as auto manufacturing. Almost all solutions require a complete picture of the movement and infrastructure. To date, obtaining that picture of movement has been extremely difficult, costing individuals, businesses, and governments significant time, money, and opportunity.

Not surprisingly, such growth is a key driver for mergers and acquisitions (M&A). 

Bentley Systems, a PA-based infrastructure design engineering firm, recognized the importance of Mobility Analytics technology, when they acquired in November 2019 Sacramento-based Citilabs, a premier Mobility Analytics company. Citilabs’ technology aggregates & analyzes a wide-range of vehicle sensor and other key data, provides real time and predictive analytics for the movement of vehicles, goods and people around infrastructure and transportation hubs. Bentley, in designing large infrastructure projects for its clients, viewed Citilabs capabilities to be exactly what they needed to create an entire ‘digital’ twin’ of optimal transportation routes and associated services in and around the infrastructure hubs they design.

SiVal Advisors guided its client Citilabs in negotiating this successful deal with Bentley.

Smart Logistics

Smart Logistics uses data-driven software platforms that automate the management of shipping & storage, transportation systems and other functions to promote the efficient movement of goods & services from the producers to the sellers, and the consumers. Mobility Analytics supports and facilitates Smart Logistics.  

Smart Logistics are interconnected systems that collect real-time data about the goods and products that are transported and provide insight into that data to enable more effective management of the supply chain. Introducing technologies such as IoT and AI are providing the capabilities to respond to supply chain disruptions such as those experienced in pandemics and trade wars. 

Recent Acquisitions

2018 and 2019 showed high levels of M&A deal activity in SCM and Logistics, and this activity has continued into Q1 of 2020. A diverse set of global players competing to deliver top-notch service to their customers has fueled SCM and Logistics acquisitions, together with strategically located warehouse facilities and associated transportation networks.

2020 so far has seen several deals announced. In January, Odyssey Logistics acquired RPM Services, which offers logistics and fulfillment services for beer, wine, and spirits, through its international supply chain. This complements Odyssey’s 2018 acquisition of AFF Global Logistics. In February, A.P. Moller-Maersk (Denmark) spent $545M to acquire USA-based fulfillment and logistics company, Performance Team. Also in January, SEKO Enterprises, backed by Greenbriar Equity, acquired e-commerce tracking and fulfillment company, Air-City. In March Costco acquired $1B logistics company Innovel Solutions, a middle-mile and final-mile delivery and installation business, from Sears’ parent company Transform Holdco. Also in March, XPO Logistics announced that it would acquire the majority of the United Kingdom-based contract logistics operations of Kuehne + Nagel, including its 75 facilities and customer base.

Active Acquirers

While there has been a wide range of acquirers, US and internationally, involved in making several hundred billion dollars’ worth of acquisitions in SCM and Logistics in recent years, a handful of companies stand out. We profile some of these below….

Trimble, a Sunnyvale CA-based transportation technology firm, has been on somewhat of an acquisition binge in recent years. In January 2020, Trimble further added to its portfolio of transportation services by announcing the acquisition of Kuebix, a Maynard, Mass.-based transportation management system (TMS) that enables shippers and carriers to collaborate more closely in one platform. The combined cloud platform will create the largest connected network of shippers and carriers in the North American supply chain. The acquisition solves the problem of shippers, carriers and intermediaries operating with fragmented TMS software by providing a single logistics platform for all participants in the supply chain. This is the 10th acquisition by Trimble since 2017.

C.H. Robinson Worldwide of Chicago in January 2020 acquired warehousing and third-party logistics provider Prime Distribution Services being divested by Roadrunner Transportation. Price paid was 2X Prime’s 2019 revenues. Prime is an integrated supply chain solutions company with five warehouse and distribution locations in Indiana, Texas, Georgia and California. This acquisition of strategically-located warehouse facilities augments CH Robinson’s 2019 acquisition of Dema truck brokerage and logistics in Italy, and further enhances CH Robinson’s ability to serve the e-commerce market.

Amazon: For several years Amazon has been making AI, robotics, and logistics software acquisitions to manage the entire flow of its operations: shopping, checkout / payment systems, fulfillment and tracking of goods to/from its warehouses for seamless delivery to customers. More recently, they have been rapidly amassing well-located real estate around cities and ports, ideally with existing infrastructure and transportation routes, to further expand its warehouses, fulfillment centers and logistics capabilities. Rumor has it that Amazon and Walmart are currently competing to acquire the J.C. Penney store locations out of bankruptcy. If Amazon prevails, this would provide 800 locations in most major cities and near suburbs across the US. These would be used primarily for its micro-fulfillment centers, automated warehouses for efficient deliveries in densely populated areas.  

Whatever outcomes occur from the 2020 pandemic, a diminished reliance on e-commerce, SCM, and logistics is not likely to be one of them. As the economy reopens, consumers and businesses will use the lessons learned to build new ways of interacting. Smart business owners will use this opportunity to acquire additional companies and resources or to become part of larger organizations. Either way, SiVal Advisors can guide you on your M&A journey. Please be warned before you start the journey: Toilet paper probably won’t be considered a workable currency. 

SiVal Advisors follows SCM and Logistics industry and regularly tracks M&A deals.

Article prepared by SiVal Managing Partners: Jan Robertson jrobertson@sivaladvisors.com and Geoff Roach groach@sivaladvisors.com.

global technology

Software M&A – Rays of Sunshine in an Otherwise Gloomy Market

May 2020 Update

It’s not all doom and gloom in the M&A market, despite what you may have heard. The rapid shift to remote workforce, distance learning and managing dispersed teams has heightened the need for collaboration tools, video conferencing and enhanced cybersecurity.  

Smart logistics and AI for efficient supply chain management is even more critical in the post COVID-19 environment. This is all good news fueling software M&A activity.  Larger tech companies are seeking to add capabilities in these important areas by way of acquisitions, and private equity buyers continue to shop selectively to bolster existing portfolio companies.  Software deal volumes are generally up, and valuations have held steady or increased significantly in certain sectors.

First some background on overall M&A trends for 2020 YTD

While global M&A in aggregate has declined notably, both in number of deals and valuations, the US mid-market (defined as deals under $1 billion value) where most companies play, has shown strength.  

The number of US mid-market deals actually increased 8.4% in Q1 totaling 814.  And mid-market valuation multiples, measured by Enterprise Value/EBITDA, have held steady at 10.1X, identical to 2019 valuation multiples.  EV/Revenues tell a similar story, averaging just over 1X throughout 2019 and 2020 YTD.  

Turning to the software sector, where deal news is the brightest

In Q1 2020, the number of software deals increased 9% from Q4 2019 (281 vs. 258) and software deal values and multiples have done even better.

EV / EBITDA has increased from 17.7X to 22.7X Q4 2019 to Q1 2020, and EV/Revenues has held steady at 3.4X in the same time period. Notable software deals for the quarter include, in April: Verizon’s $500m announced acquisition of video-conferencing platform Blue Jeans; Cisco’s  acquisition of Fluidmesh Networks which connects sensor data from trains and vehicles, to boost Cisco’s IOT offerings; and Accenture buying cybersecurity consultancy, Revolutionary Security.

In March, Microsoft announced it would acquire Affirmed Networks (value undisclosed), for its virtualization and cloud-based mobile network technology; and Docusign acquired Seal Software ($188m) a pioneer in machine-learning enabled analytics software, which searches legal documents by concept rather than keywords.  In February, network security company Forescout was acquired by private equity firms Advent International and Crosspoint Capital Partners.  Apple was active in January, acquiring machine-learning and algorithms firm Xnor.ai for $200m.

Given all the news about the COVID-19 virus and its impact on the economy, why might the software industry be continuing to shine?  Aside from behavior changes such as increased use of collaboration and remote management tools, AI, and data analytics for all aspects of the enterprise, a key factor is the very nature of the software business.  Software does not have the same supply chain implications or restrictions that many other industries rely on.  Additionally, software once embedded, is often difficult to disengage from an enterprise whether on-premise or delivered through the cloud.  With vendors moving to subscription-based revenue models, their cash flow remains more resilient.

To drive growth, software companies continually need access to new markets and new innovations.   While growth and innovation can come from within an organization, it is also common to source new technologies and teams via acquisition.  The term “outsourced R&D” is familiar to most people in the industry.  Similarly, access to new market segments, new geographies, and new industries can be obtained more quickly through buying one’s way into a market rather than attempting to grow organically. All of this fuels corporate software M&A.

Private equity firms remain a driver of software M&A as well.  PE firms have money to invest and their focus at present is to bolster existing portfolio companies with selective add-on investments.  Corporate buyers looking for diversification plays as fallout from the virus then compete with PE firms for good deals.

All things considered, is this a good time to jump into the M&A waters?  For certain, it is a good time to start getting ready, getting your business house in order.  Many pundits claim that when the economy does open up, it will do so with a vengeance.  M&A activity can’t be turned on like a light switch; some time is needed to prepare.  Prepare now and be ready.

For further details on how you can be preparing, you may contact us:

 Jan Robertson, Managing Partner: jrobertson@sivaladvisors.com

Geoff Roach, Managing Partner: groach@sivaladvisors.com

SiVal Advisors specializes in advising software companies on M&A matters, and regularly tracks software M&A deal statistics, providing periodic updates to its clients and interested business owners.  Deal statistics and other data are derived from a range of sources, including: PitchBook, Dealogic, S&P Cap IQ and DealStats.

M&A and Coronavirus: How Can Business Owners Survive and Preserve Value?

Perhaps you have been thinking about selling your business in the next year or two, having heard about the robust M&A market and high sale values in recent times. You may have even begun some planning in this regard.

However, with the COVID-19 pandemic continuing its spread, impacting our lives and businesses, it is difficult to focus on anything but the immediate day-to-day challenges, let alone exit planning.

We have witnessed many business downturns over the years; the difference this time is the enormous uncertainty of the health crisis, how long it will take to abate, and how much longer it will take global businesses to recover.

The silver lining is that there are some concrete steps business owners can take, even in this uncertain environment, to preserve the health and value of your business and prepare for an ultimate sale.

First Some Background on Current Markets….

The Federal Reserve and other central banks around the world have been aggressively pumping liquidity into their respective economies to stabilize stock markets. In the US, the Fed has unleashed measures that have outstripped its 2008 efforts during the financial crisis, with rates cuts, asset purchases and expanded lending facilities.

Congress has approved a stimulus package worth close to $3 trillion starting with the $2.2 trillion Cares Act followed by an additional funding package of ~$600 million to top up the small business loans program. These interventions have proven to be a potent lever on markets, halting the sharp decline in March propelling April to post the best gains on record since 1987. The economy, however, is suffering with a record first quarter 4.8% drop in GDP, the worst since 2008.

How does this all affect the M&A market?

While there is usually some correlation between stock market values and private business valuations, in these times of massive monetary policy interventions propping up stock markets in the face of a decimated economy, this correlation diverges. Private businesses are struggling to see ahead a week or so at a time, much less be able to create a credible 3-year forecast for valuation purposes.

During an uncertain economy, buyers typically sit on the sidelines waiting for things to settle. For strategic buyers who have adequate capital reserves, many will view this as an opportunity to seek out desirable acquisitions that fulfill a particular need, such as a sought-after geography, customer base or technology. However, their perceptions of value will reflect the inherent riskiness of the economic environment and business outlook. Private equity buyers are continuing to evaluate add-on acquisitions which augment existing portfolio investments.

We are still seeing interest for well-located, technology-driven operations, but buyers are being a lot more selective, are value-focused, and taking longer to act.

Steps Business Owners Can Take Now to Prepare & Preserve Value

In weathering downturns over the years, acting fast and decisively, and having a ‘plan B’ to adjust as circumstances change, is paramount. Revenues and cash levels usually fall faster than expenses – so bear this in mind as you chart your course in turbulent waters.

  1. Sustain Operations – as best you can continue to provide essential services to customers; they may have weathered previous downturns with you and are likely suffering this as well. Where possible, consider giving additional grace periods on normal business terms. Be flexible and adaptable – as the world changes, so must you.
  2. Strategic Plan – for how your business will survive through supply chain disruptions, revenue slowdown, etc. Imagine a range of possible scenarios and have a plan for each contingency.
  3. Sales Forecasts – deals that seem likely to close may be delayed or put on hold indefinitely. Even loyal customers may need to drastically alter their buying practices, so don’t assume past behavior will continue.
  4. Cash Resources – how much runway do you have to sustain possibly several quarters of business declines? Take stock of where you might be able to trim expenses and conserve cash, both in the near term and longer if needed. Plan for contingencies.
  5. Funding Sources – do you have access to additional equity or debt funding should you need it? With interest rates at record lows (and heading lower as central banks make further cuts) and more SBA loans being made available, your bank may be an important partner to keep your business afloat. Best to have these conversations sooner vs. later as the need becomes more acute.
  6. Team – focus on motivating your team and keeping them engaged as you implement ‘work from home’ routines. Recognize the need to accommodate parents who may need to do double duty caring for children whose schools have closed. Not all businesses can do this, such as manufacturing and certain services, but many can. Cease or minimize business travel where feasible.
  7. Discretionary Spend – you may want to reconsider marketing and customer acquisition budgets and establish a higher target “ROI” for such expenditures. Re-examine capital expenditure plans, and decide whether to wait until you have more visibility on the economic picture OR whether it makes sense to forge ahead regardless (assuming sufficient capital reserves) perhaps gaining an edge on your competition as you emerge well-positioned in the eventual economic and business recovery.
  8. Hunker Down – this could last longer than you think. Conserve cash, plan for the worst and be strategic with every decision. In these Darwinian times, “survival of the fittest” is the modus operandi where the most adaptable species will prevail. Businesses that do so successfully will emerge from this crisis, stronger, fitter and more valuable, making them more attractive to buyers when the M&A markets return to normalcy.

If you have any questions on the impact of COVID-19 on your business or the potential saleability of your business, don’t hesitate to reach out.

Written by Jan Robertson, SiVal Advisors LLC, jrobertson@sivaladvisors.com May 2020

M&A and Current Challenges, Impacted by Coronavirus – How Can Business Owners Prepare?

Perhaps you have been thinking about selling your business in the next year or two, having heard about the robust M&A market and high sale values in recent times. You may have even begun some planning in this regard. However, with the covid-19 pandemic continuing its spread, impacting our lives and businesses, it’s difficult to focus on anything but the immediate day-to-day challenges, let alone exit planning. We have witnessed many business downturns over the years; the difference this time is the enormous uncertainty of the health crisis, how long it will take to abate, and how much longer it will take global businesses to recover. The silver lining is that there are some concrete steps business owners can take, even in this uncertain environment, to preserve the health and value of your business and prepare for an ultimate sale.

First Some Background on Current M&A Markets….

Time will tell whether the Fed and other central banks around the world can stabilize stock markets. There’s not much room to go with rate cuts so perhaps injecting money into the system will prove to be a more potent lever. So far, such measures appear ineffective in stemming falling stock prices. Regardless, public company valuations have been significantly impacted, which normally creates a ripple effect through to private company valuations. How does this all affect the M&A market? Usually, during uncertainty, buyers sit on the sidelines waiting for things to settle. For strategic buyers who have adequate capital reserves, many will view this as an opportunity to seek out desirable acquisitions that fulfill a particular need, such as a sought-after geography, customer base or technology. Private equity buyers are continuing to evaluate add-on acquisitions which augment existing portfolio investments. We are still seeing interest for well-located, technology-driven operations, but buyers are being a lot more selective, are value-focused, and taking longer to act.

Steps Business Owners Can Take Now to Prepare & Preserve Value

In weathering downturns over the years, acting fast and decisively, and having a ‘plan B’ to adjust as circumstances change, is paramount. Revenues and cash levels usually fall faster than expenses – so bear this in mind as you chart your course in turbulent waters.

  1. Sustain Operations – as best you can continue to provide essential services to customers; they may have weathered previous downturns with you and are likely suffering this as well. Where possible, consider giving additional grace periods on normal business terms. Be flexible and adaptable – as the world changes, so must you.
  2. Strategic Plan – for how your business will survive through supply chain disruptions, revenue slowdown, etc. Imagine a range of possible scenarios and have a plan for each contingency.
  3. Sales Forecasts – deals that seem likely to close may be delayed or put on hold indefinitely. Even loyal customers may need to drastically alter their buying practices, so don’t assume past behavior will continue.
  4. Cash Resources – how much runway do you have to sustain possibly several quarters of business declines? Take stock of where you might be able to trim expenses and conserve cash, both in the near term and longer if needed. Plan for contingencies.
  5. Funding Sources – do you have access to additional equity or debt funding should you need it? With interest rates at record lows (and heading lower as central banks make further cuts) your bank may be an important partner to keep your business afloat. Best to have these conversations sooner vs. later as the need becomes more acute.
  6. Team – focus on motivating your team and implement ‘work from home’ routines to the extent possible – both as a disease prevention measure and to accommodate parents who may need to do double duty caring for children whose schools have closed. Not all businesses can do this, such as manufacturing and certain services, but many can. Minimize business travel where feasible.
  7. Discretionary Spend – you may want to reconsider marketing and customer acquisition budgets and establish a higher target “ROI” for such expenditures. Re-examine capital expenditure plans, and decide whether to wait until you have more visibility on the economic picture OR whether it makes sense to forge ahead regardless (assuming sufficient capital reserves) perhaps gaining an edge on your competition as you emerge well-positioned in the eventual economic and business recovery.
  8. Hunker Down – this could last longer than you think. Conserve cash, plan for the worst and be strategic with every decision. In these Darwinian times, “survival of the fittest” is the modus operandi where the most adaptable species will prevail. Businesses that do so successfully will emerge from this crisis, stronger, fitter and more valuable, making them more attractive to buyers when the M&A markets return to normalcy.

Top 10 Challenges in Selling a Family or Closely Held Business – Part 3

Welcome to the third in a series concerning the challenges of selling a family-owned or closely held business. If you have not read the previous articles, part 1 is available here and you can find part 2 here.

If what you see here looks familiar, the time to act is now. Many of these issues take time to resolve and should be addressed if you are considering an outside investment, sale, merger, or other exit for your business. The examples we discuss are based on situations from actual client work we have done at SiVal. If your business faces any of these challenges, please contact us at SiVal to learn how we can help.

Challenge 7 – Compliance Issues

Today’s business environment is loaded with potholes coming from every direction. Employment regulations, different levels of tax rules and requirements, and environmental concerns can lurk hidden from view. Add a layer of a constantly moving regulatory environments spanning localities, states, and countries and it’s amazing that anyone can keep up with the complexity. Paying attention to and addressing the compliance issues that can directly and immediately affect your business is important. Don’t let a potential time bomb delay your M&A efforts or impact its sale value. Buyers will most certainly uncover these in due diligence, so better to fix these well in advance.

Challenge 8 – Balance Sheet

One of the first items a potential acquirer will ask for are several years of prior and forecasted financials. This includes balance sheets, cash flows and profit / loss statements. The corporate balance sheet can reveal good things and not-so-positive things about your business. An undercapitalized business may stem from a past reluctance or inability to raise capital. That lack of capital may have hampered growth and innovation thus negatively impacting value. Obsolete or consignment inventory that is overvalued can add to valuation challenges. Owners that have deferred salary and entered that deferral on the books as a loan can distort balance sheet liabilities. If you run a software business or similar company where subscription, maintenance, or partial payments are a factor, understanding and being able to explain deferred revenue, license liability, and their impact on revenue will be important, especially if a potential acquirer is from outside your industry.

Challenge 9 – Intellectual Property Issues

Does your company have clear rights to its intellectual property? Are patents owned or licensed? Do they actually matter to the business? Does IP from a prior business have the potential to cause problems? IP can be a tricky matter. Your M&A advisor can help you find a good IP lawyer to look at and resolve any potential issues.

Challenge 10 – Unrealistic Valuation Expectations

Every business owner and manager would like to think their business is unique and worth more than any business in its sector. Unfortunately, in the vast majority of businesses, it simply isn’t so. The perceptions of company value can be influenced unrealistically by the success and valuations of larger and more profitable competitors. In some cases, a business may be trying to move into new markets or transition to new business models that are higher growth, yet a track record of proving those markets and models simply doesn’t exist. At this point it’s hard to demonstrate the probability of success. Deal valuations and even probability of completion can be impacted. The gap in valuation expectations between seller and buyer(s) can sometimes be closed with earn-outs or other creative structures; however, there are risks for both sides in these types of deals. Best to have sound professional advice on valuation in advance of going to the market.

Bonus Challenge – What About You?

Are you ready personally and professionally for a deal to happen? What’s the next stage of your life? What about that great team you have built? How do you make the transition? Now is the time to start thinking about these things. A good M&A advisor can help you address these issues and all these challenges.

Contact SiVal Advisors to learn more. One of our experienced team members is ready to hear from you. Let’s talk.